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DexCom’s (NASDAQ:DXCM) Q2 Sales Beat Estimates

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Medical device company DexCom (NASDAQ: DXCM) beat Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q2 CY2025, with sales up 15.2% year on year to $1.16 billion. The company expects the full year’s revenue to be around $4.61 billion, close to analysts’ estimates. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.48 per share was 7.8% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

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DexCom (DXCM) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $1.16 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.13 billion (15.2% year-on-year growth, 2.8% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.48 vs analyst estimates of $0.45 (7.8% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $327.6 million vs analyst estimates of $314.6 million (28.3% margin, 4.1% beat)
  • The company slightly lifted its revenue guidance for the full year to $4.61 billion at the midpoint from $4.6 billion
  • Operating Margin: 18.4%, up from 15.7% in the same quarter last year
  • Organic Revenue rose 15% year on year (16.2% in the same quarter last year)
  • Market Capitalization: $35.03 billion

Company Overview

Founded in 1999 and receiving its first FDA approval in 2006, DexCom (NASDAQ: DXCM) develops and sells continuous glucose monitoring systems that allow people with diabetes to track their blood sugar levels without repeated finger pricks.

Revenue Growth

A company’s long-term sales performance is one signal of its overall quality. Any business can put up a good quarter or two, but many enduring ones grow for years. Over the last five years, DexCom grew its sales at an impressive 20.2% compounded annual growth rate. Its growth surpassed the average healthcare company and shows its offerings resonate with customers, a great starting point for our analysis.

DexCom Quarterly Revenue

Long-term growth is the most important, but within healthcare, a half-decade historical view may miss new innovations or demand cycles. DexCom’s annualized revenue growth of 16% over the last two years is below its five-year trend, but we still think the results suggest healthy demand. DexCom Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

We can better understand the company’s sales dynamics by analyzing its organic revenue, which strips out one-time events like acquisitions and currency fluctuations that don’t accurately reflect its fundamentals. Over the last two years, DexCom’s organic revenue averaged 17.9% year-on-year growth. Because this number is better than its two-year revenue growth, we can see that some mixture of divestitures and foreign exchange rates dampened its headline results. DexCom Organic Revenue Growth

This quarter, DexCom reported year-on-year revenue growth of 15.2%, and its $1.16 billion of revenue exceeded Wall Street’s estimates by 2.8%.

Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 15.5% over the next 12 months, similar to its two-year rate. This projection is noteworthy and implies the market is forecasting success for its products and services.

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Operating Margin

Operating margin is one of the best measures of profitability because it tells us how much money a company takes home after subtracting all core expenses, like marketing and R&D.

DexCom’s operating margin might fluctuated slightly over the last 12 months but has generally stayed the same, averaging 14.7% over the last five years. This profitability was higher than the broader healthcare sector, showing it did a decent job managing its expenses.

Looking at the trend in its profitability, DexCom’s operating margin of 16% for the trailing 12 months may be around the same as five years ago, but it has increased by 2 percentage points over the last two years. This dynamic unfolded because its sales growth gave it operating leverage and shows it has some momentum on its side.

DexCom Trailing 12-Month Operating Margin (GAAP)

In Q2, DexCom generated an operating margin profit margin of 18.4%, up 2.6 percentage points year on year. This increase was a welcome development and shows it was more efficient.

Earnings Per Share

Revenue trends explain a company’s historical growth, but the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) points to the profitability of that growth – for example, a company could inflate its sales through excessive spending on advertising and promotions.

DexCom’s EPS grew at an astounding 17.5% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years. Despite its operating margin improvement during that time, this performance was lower than its 20.2% annualized revenue growth, telling us that non-fundamental factors such as interest and taxes affected its ultimate earnings.

DexCom Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

Diving into DexCom’s quality of earnings can give us a better understanding of its performance. A five-year view shows DexCom has diluted its shareholders, growing its share count by 5.2%. This has led to lower per share earnings. Taxes and interest expenses can also affect EPS but don’t tell us as much about a company’s fundamentals. DexCom Diluted Shares Outstanding

In Q2, DexCom reported adjusted EPS at $0.48, up from $0.43 in the same quarter last year. This print beat analysts’ estimates by 8.3%. Over the next 12 months, Wall Street expects DexCom’s full-year EPS of $1.70 to grow 36.9%.

Key Takeaways from DexCom’s Q2 Results

We enjoyed seeing DexCom beat analysts’ organic revenue, EPS, and EBITDA expectations this quarter. Overall, we think this was a solid quarter with some key areas of upside. The market seemed to be hoping for more, and the stock traded down 2.9% to $86.50 immediately following the results.

Should you buy the stock or not? The latest quarter does matter, but not nearly as much as longer-term fundamentals and valuation, when deciding if the stock is a buy. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here, it’s free.

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