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5 Must-Read Analyst Questions From LKQ’s Q4 Earnings Call

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LKQ’s fourth quarter saw revenue come in ahead of Wall Street’s expectations, even as overall sales remained flat year on year. The market responded positively, reflecting confidence in LKQ’s execution amid a tough backdrop. Management attributed performance to steady share gains with large repair shop groups (MSOs), disciplined cost actions, and the simplification of its business through the sale of its self-service segment. CEO Justin Jude acknowledged that headwinds from weak repairable claims, tariffs, and ongoing softness in Europe all challenged profitability, but highlighted the company’s ability to generate robust free cash flow and maintain operational discipline.

Is now the time to buy LKQ? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

LKQ (LKQ) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $3.31 billion vs analyst estimates of $3.20 billion (flat year on year, 3.5% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.59 vs analyst expectations of $0.65 (9.3% miss)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $321 million vs analyst estimates of $340.2 million (9.7% margin, 5.7% miss)
  • Adjusted EPS guidance for the upcoming financial year 2026 is $3.05 at the midpoint, missing analyst estimates by 7.1%
  • Operating Margin: 4.6%, down from 7.8% in the same quarter last year
  • Organic Revenue fell 1.2% year on year (beat)
  • Market Capitalization: $8.34 billion

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From LKQ’s Q4 Earnings Call

  • Scott Lewis Stember (Roth Capital): Asked about tangible signs of demand improvement in North America. CEO Justin Jude explained that lower insurance premiums and rising used car values are supportive, but recovery will only be reflected in forecasts once these trends are sustained.
  • Jash Patwa (JPMorgan): Inquired about share gains with MSOs and the potential impact of tax refund season. Jude highlighted significant wallet share growth among MSOs and noted tax refunds could provide a demand tailwind, though it has not been a major customer focus yet.
  • Craig R. Kennison (Baird): Questioned the source of competitive pressure in North America and the use of AI in pricing. Jude described competition from both OEMs and aftermarket players, and detailed how AI-driven pricing tools help LKQ respond dynamically at the SKU and shop level.
  • Brian Butler (Barclays): Asked about the drivers of margin decline in Europe and the expected path to recovery. CFO Rick Galloway pointed to aggressive private label pricing and cost actions as near-term drags, but expects cost initiatives and selective price increases to drive improvement.
  • Bret David Jordan (Jefferies): Focused on the Specialty segment’s performance and divestiture prospects. Jude confirmed strength across both automotive and RV sub-segments and reiterated robust buyer interest as market conditions improve.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

Looking forward, our team will be monitoring (1) the pace of demand recovery in North America, especially as insurance premiums fall and used car prices stabilize, (2) the impact of operational restructuring and system integration in Europe on cost efficiency and margins, and (3) progress in private label adoption and its effect on gross margin. Additionally, updates on the Specialty segment divestiture and any developments from the board’s ongoing strategic review will serve as important indicators of future value creation.

LKQ currently trades at $32.61, down from $33.22 just before the earnings. At this price, is it a buy or sell? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

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