Quarterly earnings results are a good time to check in on a company’s progress, especially compared to its peers in the same sector. Today we are looking at Dollar Tree (NASDAQ: DLTR) and the best and worst performers in the non-discretionary retail industry.

Food is non-discretionary because it's essential for life (maybe not those Oreos?), so consumers naturally need a place to buy it. Selling food is a notoriously tough business, however, as the costs of procuring and transporting oftentimes perishable products and operating stores fit to sell those products can be high. Competition is also fierce because the alternatives are numerous. While online competition threatens all of retail, grocery is one of the least penetrated because of the nature of the product. Still, we could be one startup or innovation away from a paradigm shift.

The 8 non-discretionary retail stocks we track reported a satisfactory Q3. As a group, revenues along with next quarter’s revenue guidance were in line with analysts’ consensus estimates.

In light of this news, share prices of the companies have held steady as they are up 1.1% on average since the latest earnings results.

Dollar Tree (NASDAQ: DLTR)

A treasure hunt because there’s no guarantee of consistent product selection, Dollar Tree (NASDAQ: DLTR) is a discount retailer that sells general merchandise and select packaged food at extremely low prices.

Dollar Tree reported revenues of $4.75 billion, up 9.4% year on year. This print exceeded analysts’ expectations by 1.2%. Overall, it was a strong quarter for the company with EPS guidance for next quarter exceeding analysts’ expectations and full-year EPS guidance beating analysts’ expectations.

Dollar Tree scored the biggest analyst estimates beat but had the weakest full-year guidance update of the whole group. Unsurprisingly, the stock is up 12.1% since reporting and currently trades at $122.23.

Is now the time to buy Dollar Tree? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free for active Edge members.

Best Q3: Dollar General (NYSE: DG)

Appealing to the budget-conscious consumer, Dollar General (NYSE: DG) is a discount retailer that sells a wide range of household essentials, groceries, apparel/beauty products, and seasonal merchandise.

Dollar General reported revenues of $10.65 billion, up 4.6% year on year, in line with analysts’ expectations. The business had an exceptional quarter with a beat of analysts’ EPS estimates and a solid beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates.

The market seems happy with the results as the stock is up 20.8% since reporting. It currently trades at $132.74.

Is now the time to buy Dollar General? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free for active Edge members.

Weakest Q3: Grocery Outlet (NASDAQ: GO)

Due to its differentiated procurement and buying approach, Grocery Outlet (NASDAQ: GO) is a discount grocery store chain that offers substantial discounts on name-brand products.

Grocery Outlet reported revenues of $1.17 billion, up 5.4% year on year, falling short of analysts’ expectations by 0.8%. It was a mixed quarter as it posted a beat of analysts’ EPS estimates but full-year EBITDA guidance missing analysts’ expectations.

As expected, the stock is down 19.9% since the results and currently trades at $11.35.

Read our full analysis of Grocery Outlet’s results here.

Sprouts (NASDAQ: SFM)

Playing on the secular trend of healthier living, Sprouts Farmers Market (NASDAQ: SFM) is a grocery store chain emphasizing natural and organic products.

Sprouts reported revenues of $2.2 billion, up 13.1% year on year. This result lagged analysts' expectations by 1.1%. More broadly, it was a mixed quarter as it also recorded a decent beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates but a slight miss of analysts’ revenue estimates.

Sprouts pulled off the fastest revenue growth but had the weakest performance against analyst estimates among its peers. The stock is down 18.5% since reporting and currently trades at $85.40.

Read our full, actionable report on Sprouts here, it’s free for active Edge members.

Costco (NASDAQ: COST)

Designed to be a one-stop shop for the suburban consumer, Costco (NASDAQ: COST) is a membership-only retail chain that sells groceries, apparel, toys, and household items, often in bulk quantities.

Costco reported revenues of $86.16 billion, up 8.1% year on year. This number met analysts’ expectations. Taking a step back, it was a mixed quarter as it also logged an impressive beat of analysts’ gross margin estimates but a slight miss of analysts’ EBITDA estimates.

The stock is down 5.2% since reporting and currently trades at $895.29.

Read our full, actionable report on Costco here, it’s free for active Edge members.

Market Update

In response to the Fed’s rate hikes in 2022 and 2023, inflation has been gradually trending down from its post-pandemic peak, trending closer to the Fed’s 2% target. Despite higher borrowing costs, the economy has avoided flashing recessionary signals. This is the much-desired soft landing that many investors hoped for. The recent rate cuts (0.5% in September and 0.25% in November 2024) have bolstered the stock market, making 2024 a strong year for equities. Donald Trump’s presidential win in November sparked additional market gains, sending indices to record highs in the days following his victory. However, debates continue over possible tariffs and corporate tax adjustments, raising questions about economic stability in 2025.

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