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Zscaler (ZS) 2026 Research Feature: The AI Security Pivot and Robust Cloud Earnings

By: Finterra
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As of February 26, 2026, Zscaler (Nasdaq: ZS) stands at a pivotal crossroads in the cybersecurity landscape. Long recognized as the pioneer of the "Zero Trust" architecture, the company has successfully transitioned from a specialized web gateway provider into a comprehensive AI-driven security powerhouse. In an era where legacy hardware-based security is increasingly obsolete, Zscaler’s cloud-native platform has become the standard for modern enterprises. Despite a broader market shift toward valuation discipline in early 2026, Zscaler remains a focal point for investors due to its robust earnings trajectory and its aggressive expansion into the multi-billion dollar AI security market.

Historical Background

Founded in 2007 by Jay Chaudhry, Zscaler was built on the contrarian premise that as applications moved to the cloud and users became mobile, the traditional "castle-and-moat" security model—dependent on firewalls and VPNs—would fail. Chaudhry, a serial entrepreneur with previous exits to companies like CipherTrust and AirDefense, envisioned a "checkpost in the sky" that could inspect traffic regardless of location.

The company spent its first decade building the "Zero Trust Exchange," a massive distributed cloud platform. Zscaler went public on the Nasdaq in March 2018, and its growth was supercharged by the global shift to remote work during the 2020-2022 period. By 2024, the company had established itself as the undisputed leader in Security Service Edge (SSE), a critical component of the Secure Access Service Edge (SASE) framework.

Business Model

Zscaler operates a pure-play Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) model, generating the vast majority of its revenue through multi-year subscriptions. Its core offering, the Zscaler Zero Trust Exchange, is the world’s largest inline security cloud, processing over 500 billion transactions daily.

The business is structured around three primary pillars:

  1. Zscaler Internet Access (ZIA): Secures user-to-internet traffic, replacing legacy web gateways.
  2. Zscaler Private Access (ZPA): Provides secure, identity-based access to internal applications, eliminating the need for VPNs.
  3. Zscaler Digital Experience (ZDX): A monitoring tool that ensures optimal application performance for remote users.

In late 2025, the company further diversified its revenue streams by launching the "AI Security Suite," focusing on protecting sensitive data within Large Language Models (LLMs) and securing autonomous AI agents.

Stock Performance Overview

Over the past decade, Zscaler has been a high-octane growth stock characterized by significant volatility.

  • 10-Year Horizon: Investors who entered early have seen massive returns, as ZS scaled from an IPO price of $16 in 2018 to significantly higher valuations.
  • 5-Year Horizon: The stock experienced a meteoric rise during the pandemic, followed by a sharp correction in 2022-2023 alongside other high-multiple tech names. It recovered strongly through 2024 and mid-2025.
  • 1-Year Horizon (2025-2026): The last twelve months have been challenging. After peaking near $280 in late 2025, the stock faced "multiple compression" as the market pivoted toward GAAP profitability. Currently trading between $146 and $172, the stock is testing key support levels as of February 2026.

Financial Performance

Zscaler’s financial health remains robust, even as it navigates a maturing market. In Fiscal Year 2025 (ended July 31, 2025), the company reported revenue of $2.673 billion, a 23% increase year-over-year. More importantly, it surpassed the $3 billion milestone in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR).

For the most recent quarter (Q1 2026, ended Oct 31, 2025), Zscaler reported:

  • Revenue: $788.1 million (up 26% YoY).
  • Non-GAAP EPS: $0.96, comfortably beating analyst estimates.
  • Cash Flow: A standout 36% operating cash flow margin, generating nearly $1 billion in free cash flow on an annualized basis.

As of today, February 26, 2026, the market is awaiting Q2 2026 results. Consensus estimates project revenue of $799 million and non-GAAP EPS of $0.90. The company’s ability to maintain high growth while shifting toward GAAP profitability is the primary metric watched by institutional investors.

Leadership and Management

Founder Jay Chaudhry continues to lead as CEO and Chairman, maintaining a high-energy, innovation-first culture. His vision for "Agentic AI" security—securing autonomous software agents—is the current cornerstone of the company’s strategy.

In May 2025, Zscaler saw a significant transition in its finance department as long-time CFO Remo Canessa retired, succeeded by Kevin Rubin. Rubin has focused on "efficient growth," aiming to balance Zscaler’s aggressive R&D spending with better bottom-line margins. CTO Syam Nair and EVP Swamy Kocherlakota round out a leadership team that is heavily weighted toward engineering and product innovation.

Products, Services, and Innovations

Zscaler’s competitive edge lies in its "Cloud-Native" architecture. Unlike many competitors who "lifted and shifted" legacy firewall code into the cloud, Zscaler was built for the cloud from day one.

Recent innovations in 2025 and early 2026 include:

  • AI Data Protection: Uses deep learning to inspect encrypted traffic and prevent sensitive enterprise data from being leaked into public AI models like ChatGPT or Claude.
  • AI Asset Management: Allows IT teams to see exactly which AI tools are being used across the organization (solving the "Shadow AI" problem).
  • Red Teaming for AI: An automated tool that tests the vulnerabilities of a company’s own internal AI applications.
  • Sovereign Cloud: Specialized cloud instances designed for high-compliance environments in Europe and Asia.

Competitive Landscape

The cybersecurity market in 2026 is defined by "platformization."

  • Palo Alto Networks (Nasdaq: PANW): The primary rival. While PANW offers a broader suite including hardware firewalls, Zscaler argues that its pure cloud approach is more agile and secure for modern workforces.
  • CrowdStrike (Nasdaq: CRWD): Primarily an endpoint security leader, but increasingly moving into Zscaler’s territory through its Falcon SASE offering. Zscaler and CrowdStrike often maintain a "co-opetition" relationship, integrating their products for mutual clients.
  • Netskope: A private competitor that remains a strong challenger in the SSE space, particularly in the mid-market.

Zscaler’s moat is its massive data lake. By processing 500 billion transactions a day, its AI models are trained on a larger dataset than almost any other security provider, allowing for faster threat detection.

Industry and Market Trends

The industry is currently driven by three macro trends:

  1. AI-Native Threats: Hackers are using AI to create sophisticated deepfakes and automated phishing campaigns, necessitating AI-based defense.
  2. Consolidation: Enterprises are looking to reduce the number of security vendors they use, favoring platforms that cover multiple needs (SSE, SD-WAN, and Data Protection).
  3. Zero Trust Mandates: Government regulations, such as the SEC’s disclosure rules and various federal mandates, are forcing companies to adopt Zero Trust frameworks as a compliance standard.

Risks and Challenges

Despite its growth, Zscaler faces several headwinds:

  • Valuation Pressure: Even after the recent sell-off, Zscaler trades at a premium multiple compared to traditional tech. Any slight miss in guidance can lead to disproportionate stock price drops.
  • Execution Risk: Transitioning to a new CFO and scaling into the AI market requires flawless execution.
  • Hyperscaler Competition: Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT) has become more aggressive with its Entra suite, offering "good enough" security to existing Azure customers at a lower price point.

Opportunities and Catalysts

  • AI ARR Upsell: The new AI Security Suite has already reached $400 million in ARR. Continued adoption of these high-margin tools is a significant growth lever.
  • Federal Expansion: Zscaler has high-level FedRAMP certifications, making it a preferred choice for U.S. government agencies undergoing modernization.
  • Branch Connectivity: Zscaler is increasingly replacing traditional SD-WAN hardware with its "Branch Connector" software, expanding its reach into physical office locations.

Investor Sentiment and Analyst Coverage

Wall Street remains divided on Zscaler in early 2026. While approximately 85% of analysts maintain "Buy" ratings due to the company's technical superiority and cash flow, several major firms (including JP Morgan and KeyBanc) recently lowered their price targets. This shift reflects a market-wide "de-risking" of high-growth software rather than a loss of confidence in Zscaler’s specific technology. Retail sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, focused on the potential for an earnings beat to spark a technical rebound.

Regulatory, Policy, and Geopolitical Factors

Zscaler is a beneficiary of tightening global data privacy laws (like GDPR and CCPA) and the SEC’s 2023 cybersecurity disclosure rules. These regulations mandate that companies have robust threat detection and reporting capabilities, which Zscaler provides out-of-the-box. Geopolitically, the company is expanding its footprint in India and Southeast Asia, positioning itself as a Western-aligned alternative to regional providers in sensitive high-growth markets.

Conclusion

Zscaler remains the gold standard for cloud-native security, backed by an visionary founder and a massive data advantage. While its stock has faced a reality check in the first quarter of 2026 due to broader macro shifts and valuation concerns, the underlying business fundamentals—$3B+ in ARR, 20%+ growth, and 30%+ cash flow margins—suggest a high-quality enterprise. Investors should closely watch today’s Q2 earnings call for commentary on the adoption of the AI Security Suite and updates on GAAP profitability. For the long-term investor, Zscaler’s transition from a "web gateway" to the "central nervous system" of enterprise AI security remains a compelling narrative.


This content is intended for informational purposes only and is not financial advice.

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