SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549-1004
FORM 8-K
CURRENT REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OF
THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
Date of Report
(Date of earliest event reported) January 9, 2003
GENERAL MOTORS CORPORATION (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) |
STATE OF DELAWARE (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) |
1-143 (Commission File Number) |
38-0572515 (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.) |
300 Renaissance Center, Detroit, Michigan (Address of principal executive offices) |
48265-3000 (Zip Code) |
Registrants telephone number, including area code (313)-556-5000
ITEM 9. REGULATION FD DISCLOSURE
Forward Looking Information relating to General Motors Corporation (GM) financial objectives for 2003:
GM OUTLINES OBJECTIVES FOR 2003
| $5.00 earnings per share, excluding Hughes and special items | ||
| $10 billion cash generation | ||
| Improved market share in all regions |
DETROIT General Motors Corp. (NYSE: GM, GMH) today said it is pursuing a strategy to generate long-term profitable growth through its continued worldwide product offensive, and by further leveraging the strength of its product development, manufacturing, purchasing, quality and distribution capabilities.
GMs long term strategy for creating stockholder value is clear. Were focused on executing a global plan to win more market share, improve our profitability, and capitalize on new opportunities to grow our automotive business in both developed and emerging markets, said GM President and Chief Executive Officer Rick Wagoner, at a meeting of securities analysts and institutional investors during the North American International Auto Show here.
Were achieving solid operational improvements by leveraging our strengths in product development, manufacturing, purchasing, quality and our global sales footprint. Over the last several years, GM has demonstrated steady and significant improvement in our core operations. We have developed an extremely strong position in trucks and sport utility vehicles, and embarked on a remarkable resurgence at Cadillac, Wagoner said. Additionally, weve established important and solid footprints in key growth markets such as China and Korea. In 2003, were going to pick up the pace and build on our excellent operating base to capitalize on market opportunities around the globe, Wagoner said. We know what to do and were planning to go fast in accomplishing our objectives.
GM Vice Chairman and Chief Financial Officer John Devine outlined the companys 2003 financial goals. This year, GM expects to earn $5.00 per share of GM $1-2/3 par value common stock, excluding Hughes and special items, generate $10 billion in cash and improve market share in all four automotive regions.
The key to achieving these goals is great products, said Devine. Our increasingly competitive products and cost structure will position us for long-term improvement in our financial performance.
GM North America is expected to earn approximately $1.7 billion to $1.9 billion in 2003, and GM Europe is expected to report improved financial results, in a range of break-even results to a loss of about $200 million.
GM expects 2003 industry sales to be down modestly in the North American and European markets, at 19.4 million and 19.0 million respectively; up again in the Asia Pacific region at about 15.0 million units; and unchanged in the Latin America Africa Mideast region at 3.7 million units.
Pricing pressures are expected to continue in the North American and European markets in 2003, Devine added.
GM will continue to support its product offensive with total capital spending of about $7 billion in 2003. Net material cost reduction for GM North America is targeted at 3.0 percent, and for GM Europe at 3.5 percent. For North America and Europe, GM is also targeting carryover structural cost, excluding pension expense, reflecting strong cost performance that will effectively offset increases in health care expense and economics. The strong material and structural cost performance expected in 2003 is on the heels of strong performance in 2002.
GMAC expects another record profit in 2002, marking the eighth consecutive year of earnings growth at the wholly owned finance subsidiary. For 2003, GMAC expects another year of strong results, with net income targeted at $1.7 billion to $1.9 billion. In addition, GMACs goal for 2003 is to again remit a dividend to GM while maintaining its funding-to-equity leverage ratio roughly in line with current levels. GMAC paid a $400 million dividend to GM during the fourth quarter of 2002.
Strengthening GMs balance sheet continues as a priority in 2003. A significant factor affecting GMs 2003 financial performance will be increased pension expense, which is expected to rise to about $3 billion in 2003, before tax, from about $1 billion before tax in 2002. Strong cash generation in 2002 allowed GM to contribute a total of $4.8 billion to its U.S. pension plans during the year, including a $2.6 billion cash contribution in the fourth quarter.
A preliminary analysis of GMs U.S. pension plans showed that the plans underfunded status was approximately $19.3 billion at the end of 2002, based on a 2002 asset return of approximately negative 7 percent, and a discount rate of 6.75 percent. The discount rate, which is used to calculate the present value of future pension liabilities, was reduced from 7.25 percent in 2002. GMs U.S. pension plans were underfunded by $9.1 billion at the end of 2001. Based on a comprehensive study by GMs asset managers and actuaries, GM has decided to reduce its asset earnings rate assumption to 9 percent in 2003 from 10 percent in 2002.
# # #
In this press release and related comments by General Motors management, our use of the words expect, anticipate, estimate, forecast, objective, plan, goal and similar expressions is intended to identify forward looking statements. While these statements represent our current judgment on what the future may hold, and we believe these judgments are reasonable, actual results may differ materially due to numerous important factors that are described in GMs most recent report on SEC Form 10-K (at page 11-15, 16) which may be revised or supplemented in subsequent reports on SEC Forms 10-Q and 8-K. Such factors include, among others, the following: changes in economic conditions, currency exchange rates or political stability; shortages of fuel, labor strikes or work stoppages; market acceptance of the corporations new products; significant changes in the competitive environment; changes in laws, regulations and tax rates; and, the ability of the corporation to achieve reductions in cost and employment levels to realize production efficiencies and implement capital expenditures at levels and times planned by management.
Note to editors: General Motors will webcast its meeting with automotive securities analysts on Thursday, Jan. 9, 2003, from approximately 8:30 a.m. EST to 11:30 am EST. The presentation will be available live through GM Media Online (http://media.gm.com), or directly at http://investor.gm.com under the Events and Presentations section. A replay of the webcast will also be made available.
Presentation materials will be available under Recent Presentations in the Event and Presentations section.
Additionally, media may access the presentations via a live conference call (Listen Only). Dial-in access will begin at 8:00 a.m. EST. To access the conference call, please dial 1-888-428-4471 (612-332-1025 for international access) with confirmation #667309 and ask to be connected to the General Motors conference call.
A taped replay of the call will be made available from 8:00 p.m. EST, January 10 until 11:59 p.m. EST, January 12, 2003. Please dial 1-800-475-6701 (320-365-3844 for international access) and enter reservation number 667309 to access the taped replay.
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | R. Wagoner | 01/09/03 |
Safe Harbor
In the presentation that follows and in related comments by General Motors management, our use of the words expect, anticipate, project, estimate, forecast, objective, plan, goal and similar expressions is intended to identify forward looking statements.
While these statements represent our current judgment on what the future may hold, and we believe these judgments are reasonable, actual results may differ materially due to numerous important factors that are described in GMs most recent report on SEC Form 10-K which may be revised or supplemented in subsequent reports on SEC Forms 10-Q and 8-K. Such factors include, among others, the following: changes in economic conditions, currency exchange rates or political stability; shortages of fuel, labor strikes or work stoppages; market acceptance of the corporations new products; significant changes in the competitive environment; changes in laws, regulations and tax rates; and, the ability of the corporation to achieve reductions in cost and employment levels to realize production efficiencies and implement capital expenditures at levels and times planned by management.
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 1 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | R. Wagoner | 01/09/03 |
Taking GM to the Next Level
Leveraging Strengths, Addressing Challenges, Focusing on the Future |
Rick Wagoner, President and CEO
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 2 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | R. Wagoner | 01/09/03 |
Todays Strengths Product Focus
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 3 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | R. Wagoner | 01/09/03 |
The Resurgence of Cadillac
2001 | 2002 | |||||||||||
Retail Deliveries |
146,500 | > | 177,300 | |||||||||
% Change vs. Previous Year |
(6)% | > | 21% | |||||||||
Average Age |
63 | > | 60 | |||||||||
Average HH Income |
$106K | > | $112K | |||||||||
% College Grad |
47% | > | 50% |
Todays Strengths Product Focus
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 4 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | R. Wagoner | 01/09/03 |
Powertrain Leadership
| Quality leadership in many categories | |
| Globally integrated gas engine and transmission strategy | |
| Emerging diesel strategy |
| Integrated and leveraged |
| Advanced technology capability |
Todays Strengths Product Focus
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 5 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | R. Wagoner | 01/09/03 |
Industry Leadership in Purchasing
Todays Strengths Operational Excellence
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 6 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | R. Wagoner | 01/09/03 |
Manufacturing Efficiency
Todays Strengths Operational Excellence
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 7 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | R. Wagoner | 01/09/03 |
Quality As A Value
| J.D. Power |
| Among top 3 in 2002 IQS | ||
| 10 of the top 14 plants in North America |
| Consumer Reports |
| Recommended list from 4 to 13 |
| Lower warranty costs | |
| Europe |
| Significant improvement in launch quality, warranty costs, consumer perception |
Todays Strengths Operational Excellence
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 8 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | R. Wagoner | 01/09/03 |
Vehicle Development Process
| Over past 5 years, VDP completely restructured |
| Time between Design Freeze and Start of Production reduced from 43 months to 18/20 months |
| Recent examples: |
| Buick Rendezvous 22 months | ||
| Saturn ION 4-door 20 months |
Todays Strengths Operational Excellence
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 9 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | R. Wagoner | 01/09/03 |
Producing Results in 2002
| Current guidance at $6.75 EPS | |
| Cash generation of $10B thru Q3 | |
| Increased market share in three out of four regions | |
| Continued improvement in quality and productivity to move among leaders |
Todays Strengths
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 10 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | R. Wagoner | 01/09/03 |
But...Ample Opportunity to Improve
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 11 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | R. Wagoner | 01/09/03 |
Addressing Todays Challenges
| Opel/Vauxhall turnaround | |
| Traditional stand alone operations |
| Saab/Saturn |
| Aging North America car line-up | |
| Balance sheet |
| Pensions, Hughes, Fiat |
| South American economic conditions |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 12 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | R. Wagoner | 01/09/03 |
Whats Next...
| Build on Strong Operational Base | |
| Pick up the Pace | |
| Capitalize on Opportunities |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 13 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | R. Wagoner | 01/09/03 |
Next Steps in Vehicle Development
| Leverage global product and powertrain capability | |
| Global engineering integration | |
| Faster and more effective frontend VDP | |
| Push design capability |
Whats Next...Building on Strong Operational Base
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 14 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | R. Wagoner | 01/09/03 |
Next Generation Material Cost
Purchasing/Engineering Integration
| One Target | |
| BOM re-use | |
| Optimal sourcing footprint | |
| Net material cost savings > 3% for 2003 |
Whats Next...Building on Strong Operational Base
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 15 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | R. Wagoner | 01/09/03 |
Manufacturing
| Increased flexibility | |
| Focus on capital efficiency | |
| Continuing productivity improvements |
Whats Next...Building on Strong Operational Base
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 16 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | R. Wagoner | 01/09/03 |
Quality
| Interior quality | |
| Perceived quality | |
| Evolve focus from problem reduction to more recommended vehicles |
Whats Next...Building on Strong Operational Base
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 17 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | R. Wagoner | 01/09/03 |
Picking Up the Pace
| Continue to build GoFast! culture |
| Simpler, leaner, more focused organization | ||
| GoFast! process |
| Time as a performance metric |
| Full VDP | ||
| New vehicle changeover/start-up | ||
| Sourcing |
| Identify problems faster, and fix them |
Whats Next
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 18 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | R. Wagoner | 01/09/03 |
Profitable Growth in
Developed Markets
| U.S./Canada |
| Rebuild car strength leverage regions, more derivatives | ||
| Broaden truck strength expand Hummer, small utilities, etc. |
| Europe turnaround | |
| Leverage Holden | |
| Grow profits in related businesses |
| GMAC | ||
| Aftermarket | ||
| OnStar |
Whats Next...Capitalizing on Opportunities
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 19 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | R. Wagoner | 01/09/03 |
Growing in Developing Markets
Industry Size (M) | GM Position | |||||||||||||||||||
2002 | '02-'07 | Established | New & | "On the | ||||||||||||||||
Market | Growth | & Growing | Solid | Case" | ||||||||||||||||
China |
3.45 | 1.2 | X | |||||||||||||||||
S. Korea |
1.6 | 0.5 | X | |||||||||||||||||
Brazil |
1.5 | 0.5 | X | |||||||||||||||||
Russia |
1.3 | 0.2 | X | |||||||||||||||||
Mexico |
1.0 | 0.2 | X | |||||||||||||||||
India |
0.9 | 0.6 | X | |||||||||||||||||
Thailand |
0.4 | 0.3 | X | |||||||||||||||||
Poland |
0.3 | 0.2 | X |
Whats Next Capitalizing on New Opportunities
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 20 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | R. Wagoner | 01/09/03 |
Alliances
Better Focus on Value Creation
Areas of Cooperation/Leverage | ||||||||||||||||||||
Purch. | Pwtrn. | Prod. | Distr. | Tech. | ||||||||||||||||
Isuzu |
Emerging | Solid | Limited | Limited | Limited | |||||||||||||||
FHI |
Emerging | Limited | Emerging | Emerging | Solid | |||||||||||||||
Suzuki |
Emerging | Emerging | Solid | Solid | Solid | |||||||||||||||
Fiat |
Solid | Solid | Emerging | Limited | Emerging | |||||||||||||||
SAIC |
Emerging | Solid | Solid | Solid | Emerging |
Whats Next Capitalizing on Opportunities
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 21 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | R. Wagoner | 01/09/03 |
Summary
| Strong track record of tackling tough issues |
| Example > Comprehensive North America turnaround |
| Robust 2002 results in overall challenging global environment | |
| Still ample areas to improve and we have learned how to fix them faster | |
| Focused on using #1 global position to: |
| Grow revenue, market share and profits | ||
| Rebuild balance sheet | ||
| Enhance shareholder value |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 22 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | J. Devine | 01/09/03 |
Safe Harbor
In the presentation that follows and in related comments by General Motors management, our use of the words expect, anticipate, project, estimate, forecast, objective, plan, goal and similar expressions is intended to identify forward looking statements.
While these statements represent our current judgment on what the future may hold, and we believe these judgments are reasonable, actual results may differ materially due to numerous important factors that are described in GMs most recent report on SEC Form 10-K which may be revised or supplemented in subsequent reports on SEC Forms 10-Q and 8-K. Such factors include, among others, the following: changes in economic conditions, currency exchange rates or political stability; shortages of fuel, labor strikes or work stoppages; market acceptance of the corporations new products; significant changes in the competitive environment; changes in laws, regulations and tax rates; and, the ability of the corporation to achieve reductions in cost and employment levels to realize production efficiencies and implement capital expenditures at levels and times planned by management.
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 1 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | J. Devine | 01/09/03 |
Financial Review and Outlook
John Devine, Vice Chairman and CFO
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 2 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | J. Devine | 01/09/03 |
Driving Value
Great Products |
Improve Financial Performance Driving Shareholder Value |
Strengthen Balance Sheet |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 3 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | J. Devine | 01/09/03 |
Agenda
| 2002 Performance Recap | |
| 2003 Outlook/Targets | |
| 2003 Downturn Analysis |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 4 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | J. Devine | 01/09/03 |
Performance to 2002 Priorities/Targets
|
Priorities | |||||||
| $3.00 EPS excluding Hughes | /\ | $6.75* | |||||
| Profitable Automotive Operations | G | ||||||
| Positive operating cash flow | G | ||||||
| Grow share in all regions | Y | ||||||
|
Regional/Sector Income Targets | |||||||
| North America: $750M | G | ||||||
| Europe: ($350M) | R | ||||||
| LAAM & AP: Positive | R G | ||||||
| GMAC: $1,650M | G | ||||||
|
Other Metrics | |||||||
| Improved structural cost | G | ||||||
| Capital spending of $7.1B | G | ||||||
| Net material cost reductions of 3.5% | Y |
* EPS excluding any special items
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 5 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | J. Devine | 01/09/03 |
Agenda
| 2002 Performance Recap | |
| 2003 Outlook/Targets | |
| 2003 Downturn Analysis |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 6 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | J. Devine | 01/09/03 |
2003 Priorities
| $5.00 EPS (excludes Hughes) | |
| Cash generation of $10B | |
| Grow market share in all regions |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 7 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | J. Devine | 01/09/03 |
Market and Industry Assumptions
| North America |
U.S. Industry of 16.5M (down 3.5%)
GM share targeted to improve
Continued pricing pressure
| Europe |
Industry estimated at 19.0M (down 1%)
GM share targeted to improve
Continued pricing pressure
| Latin America and Asia-Pacific |
LAAM industry sales flat, AP industry up 5%
Expect improved share in both regions
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 8 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | J. Devine | 01/09/03 |
U.S. Pension Funded Status
| Preliminary 2002 year-end U.S. underfunded status of $19.3 billion: |
| Reflects $2.6B contribution in Q402 | ||
| Based on discount rate of 6.75% and preliminary 2002 actual asset returns of approximately -7.0% |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 9 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | J. Devine | 01/09/03 |
U.S. Pension Funding Requirements
to Avoid VRP
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 10 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | J. Devine | 01/09/03 |
2003 U.S. Pension Expense
Cy Assumptions |
2002 | 2003 | ||||||
Discount Rate |
7.25 | % | 6.75 | % | ||||
LT Asset Return |
10.0 | % | 9.0 | % |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 11 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | J. Devine | 01/09/03 |
Pension Assumption Benchmarking
| Benchmarking survey indicates that GMs pension assumptions for 2002 year-end Discount Rate and 2003 Long-Term Expected Return on Plan Assets is in line with other companies assumptions |
Source: Watson Wyatt Survey of companies (123 companies for Discount Rate, 106 companies for L-T EROA)
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 12 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | J. Devine | 01/09/03 |
2003 U.S. OPEB Expense
CY Assumptions |
2002 | 2003 | ||||||
Trend Rate |
6.0 | % | 7.3 | % | ||||
Discount Rate |
7.25 | % | 6.75 | % |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 13 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | J. Devine | 01/09/03 |
Structural Cost Reduction
| Targeted carryover structural cost (excluding pension) despite increases in healthcare and economic cost pressures |
| Strong manufacturing productivity improvements | ||
| Hourly and salaried attrition | ||
| Increased engineering productivity |
* At 03CY exchange rates
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 14 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | J. Devine | 01/09/03 |
Material Cost Reduction
| Continued material cost reductions through: |
| One team approach | ||
| Carryover components/BOM re-use | ||
| Optimize supplier footprint globally |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 15 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | J. Devine | 01/09/03 |
2003 Sector/Regional
Financial Targets
$ in Millions |
Net Income |
Market Share |
||
North America | $1,700 $1,900 | + | ||
Europe | ($200) $0 | + | ||
Rest of World | $100+ | + | ||
GMAC | $1,700 $1,900 | N/A |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 16 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | J. Devine | 01/09/03 |
2003 Target Earnings
EPS Excluding Hughes
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 17 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | J. Devine | 01/09/03 |
2003 Priorities/Targets
| Priorities | |||||
| $5.00 EPS* excluding Hughes | |||||
| | Cash generation of $10B | ||||
| Grow share in all regions | |||||
| Regional/Sector Income Targets | |||||
| North America: | $1,700 - $1,900M | ||||
| | Europe: | ($200) - $0M | |||
| Rest of World: | $100M+ | ||||
| GMAC: | $1,700 - $1,900M | ||||
| ||||||
Other Metrics | ||||||
| Structural cost: | $41.4B GMNA, $7.8B GME | ||||
| Capital spending of $7.0B | |||||
| Net material cost reduction: | 3.0% GMNA, 3.5% GME |
* EPS excluding any special items
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 18 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | J. Devine | 01/09/03 |
Cash Generation of $10B in 2003
+ Automotive operating cash flow
+ Hughes monetization
+ Debt offerings
+ Dividends from GMAC
+ Sales of non-core assets
- GM $1-2/3 Dividend payments
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 19 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | J. Devine | 01/09/03 |
Agenda
| 2002 Performance Recap | |
| 2003 Outlook/Targets | |
| 2003 Downturn Analysis |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 20 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | J. Devine | 01/09/03 |
2003 Downturn Analysis
Likelihood of U.S. Downturn (15.5M Industry)
Internally Estimated at below 20%
| Assumptions |
| U.S. industry 15.5M vs. 16.5M (down 6%) | ||
| European industry 18.2M vs. 19.0M (down 4%) | ||
| Further deterioration in net pricing | ||
| Lower material savings |
| Targets |
| *$1.00+ EPS | ||
| Breakeven operating cash flow (including GMAC dividends) |
* EPS excluding any special items and Hughes
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 21 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | J. Devine | 01/09/03 |
Summary
| 2003 $5.00 EPS based on aggressive cost and market targets | |
| Substantial pension related drag on earnings/cash flow will improve over time | |
| Continued intense pricing environment | |
| Focus on cost reduction will continue | |
| Focus on cash generation |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 22 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | M. Burns | 01/09/03 |
Safe Harbor
In the presentation that follows and in related comments by General Motors management, our use of the words expect, anticipate, project, estimate, forecast, objective, plan, goal and similar expressions is intended to identify forward looking statements.
While these statements represent our current judgment on what the future may hold, and we believe these judgments are reasonable, actual results may differ materially due to numerous important factors that are described in GMs most recent report on SEC Form 10-K which may be revised or supplemented in subsequent reports on SEC Forms 10-Q and 8-K. Such factors include, among others, the following: changes in economic conditions, currency exchange rates or political stability; shortages of fuel, labor strikes or work stoppages; market acceptance of the corporations new products; significant changes in the competitive environment; changes in laws, regulations and tax rates; and, the ability of the corporation to achieve reductions in cost and employment levels to realize production efficiencies and implement capital expenditures at levels and times planned by management.
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 1 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | M. Burns | 01/09/03 |
GME Business Update/Key
Metrics
Mike Burns, President GME
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 2 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | M. Burns | 01/09/03 |
Agenda
| 2002 |
| Overview |
| 2003 |
| Market Outlook | ||
| Share | ||
| New Products | ||
| Diesel Engines | ||
| Operational Improvements |
| Quality, Material Cost, Structural Cost |
| 2003 Objective | ||
| Summary |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 3 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | M. Burns | 01/09/03 |
2002 Overview
| Difficult year |
| Missed net income objective | ||
| Share improvements not at expected rate | ||
| Detracted from continued improvements on cost structure |
| Cost improvements |
| Capacity rationalization on track | ||
| Best material performance since mid-80s | ||
| Headcount reductions on track | ||
| Significant further progress in reducing structural cost |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 4 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | M. Burns | 01/09/03 |
GME Net Income 1998-2002
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 5 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | M. Burns | 01/09/03 |
Saab Situation 2002
Net Income for 2002 deteriorated substantially
| Key drivers: |
| Lower volumes | ||
| Adverse mix | ||
| Foreign exchange |
| Also impacted by: |
| Higher marketing costs | ||
| Diesel warranty expense | ||
| Higher material costs | ||
| Start-up costs of new 9-3 |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 6 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | M. Burns | 01/09/03 |
Saab Actions to Improve
| Personnel changes at senior level | |
| Government and Unions notified of intention to separate up to 1,300 people in 2003 | |
| Vehicle final assembly in Sweden to be reduced to one line with significant productivity improvement | |
| Grow product line-up through increased leveraging of other GM and Alliance vehicles | |
| Increased alignment with GM/GME functional direction |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 7 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | M. Burns | 01/09/03 |
2003 Objective Breakeven
| Key success factors |
| Saab turnaround | ||
| Market share | ||
| Continued focus on cost structure |
| Improvements driven by new product and engine launches in 2003 |
| Meriva | ||
| Signum | ||
| Vectra Wagon | ||
| Saab 9-3 Convertible | ||
| 2003 Diesel Engine 1.3L (Agila, Corsa) |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 8 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | M. Burns | 01/09/03 |
Market Overview
Western and Central Europe
Market Has Declined Since 1999
All numbers include light commercial vehicles
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 9 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | M. Burns | 01/09/03 |
GME Share of Total Market
Western and Central Europe
| Decline reversed |
Includes: Opel/Vauxhall, Saab, NAV and Isuzu (2001 and 2002 only)
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 10 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | M. Burns | 01/09/03 |
GME Market Share
W/C Europe 2003 vs. 2002
Includes: Opel/Vauxhall, Saab, NAV & Isuzu (2002 Only)
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 11 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | M. Burns | 01/09/03 |
GME Diesel Share Development
| Also, 80% increase in number of diesels with automatic transmissions between 2002-2005 |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 12 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | M. Burns | 01/09/03 |
Improvement of Delivery Quality
Dealer Satisfaction With Quality
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 13 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | M. Burns | 01/09/03 |
Improvement of Delivery Quality
Warranty Claims After 12 Months of Ownership
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 14 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | M. Burns | 01/09/03 |
Improvements in Long Term Durability
Cost Per Car
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 15 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | M. Burns | 01/09/03 |
Quality Momentum
| Vectra continues strong improvements in launch quality |
Problems Per 1,000 Vehicles
Pre-delivery inspection, initial 3 month average
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 16 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | M. Burns | 01/09/03 |
Material Cost Performance
Includes Purchasing Synergies from FIAT J/V activity
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 17 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | M. Burns | 01/09/03 |
GME Structural Cost 1999-2003
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 18 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | M. Burns | 01/09/03 |
GM Europe
Project Olympia
| Expectation of Cost Reduction earlier than Revenue Growth | |
| Olympia remains on schedule |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 19 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | M. Burns | 01/09/03 |
GME Net Income Target
2003 vs. 2002
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 20 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | M. Burns | 01/09/03 |
Summary
| Market remains difficult | |
| Exciting product pipeline | |
| Strong improvement in quality | |
| Significant cost improvement at Opel/Vauxhall | |
| Actions identified for Saab to reverse losses | |
| Beat Breakeven in 2003 |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 21 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | B. Lutz | 01/09/03 |
Safe Harbor
In the presentation that follows and in related comments by General Motors management, our use of the words expect, anticipate, project, estimate, forecast, objective, plan, goal and similar expressions is intended to identify forward looking statements.
While these statements represent our current judgment on what the future may hold, and we believe these judgments are reasonable, actual results may differ materially due to numerous important factors that are described in GMs most recent report on SEC Form 10-K which may be revised or supplemented in subsequent reports on SEC Forms 10-Q and 8-K. Such factors include, among others, the following: changes in economic conditions, currency exchange rates or political stability; shortages of fuel, labor strikes or work stoppages; market acceptance of the corporations new products; significant changes in the competitive environment; changes in laws, regulations and tax rates; and, the ability of the corporation to achieve reductions in cost and employment levels to realize production efficiencies and implement capital expenditures at levels and times planned by management.
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 1 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | B. Lutz | 01/09/03 |
Improving the Car Portfolio
in the Marketplace and the Bottom Line
Bob Lutz, Vice Chairman Product Development and Chairman GMNA
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 2 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | B. Lutz | 01/09/03 |
1 | What are we going to do to improve share performance in cars? | |
2 | How are we going to do it profitably? | |
3 | What have I been doing since I got here? |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 3 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | B. Lutz | 01/09/03 |
great design
and perceived quality
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 4 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | B. Lutz | 01/09/03 |
Portfolio Plan Development |
Advance Vehicle Development Process & Design |
Vehicle Development Process |
|||
> Portfolio Plan > | |||||
Document of Strategic Intent DSI |
|||||
> > | |||||
Vehicle Program Initiation VPI |
Start of Production SOP |
||||
> Vehicle Development > |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 5 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | B. Lutz | 01/09/03 |
Winning Themes Exterior
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 6 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | B. Lutz | 01/09/03 |
Winning Themes Interior
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 7 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | B. Lutz | 01/09/03 |
bill of material
and architecture reuse
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 8 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | B. Lutz | 01/09/03 |
Global Part Level Reuse Metric GMNA
Vehicle & Powertrain | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | |||||||||
Annual |
87% | 93% | 97% | |||||||||
Mid-Cycle |
81% | 93% | 95% | |||||||||
New/Major
New Architecture |
43% | 50% | ||||||||||
New/Major
Existing Architecture |
68% | 75% |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 9 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | B. Lutz | 01/09/03 |
Capable Engine Architectures
| Global 4-cylinder engine families |
| Eight engine families converging to four in 2006 |
| 6-cylinder engine families |
| Six engine families converging to three in 2009 |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 10 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | B. Lutz | 01/09/03 |
global product leveraging
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 11 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | B. Lutz | 01/09/03 |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 12 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | B. Lutz | 01/09/03 |
gotta-have products
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 13 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | B. Lutz | 01/09/03 |
Summary
| Were focused on delivering gotta-have products with the highest levels of product quality and perceived quality | |
| BOM and architecture reuse are keys to profitability | |
| Global product leveraging is essential | |
| No competitor has the product capability that we have |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 14 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | G. Cowger | 01/09/03 |
Safe Harbor
In the presentation that follows and in related comments by General Motors management, our use of the words expect, anticipate, project, estimate, forecast, objective, plan, goal and similar expressions is intended to identify forward looking statements.
While these statements represent our current judgment on what the future may hold, and we believe these judgments are reasonable, actual results may differ materially due to numerous important factors that are described in GMs most recent report on SEC Form 10-K which may be revised or supplemented in subsequent reports on SEC Forms 10-Q and 8-K. Such factors include, among others, the following: changes in economic conditions, currency exchange rates or political stability; shortages of fuel, labor strikes or work stoppages; market acceptance of the corporations new products; significant changes in the competitive environment; changes in laws, regulations and tax rates; and, the ability of the corporation to achieve reductions in cost and employment levels to realize production efficiencies and implement capital expenditures at levels and times planned by management.
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 1 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | G. Cowger | 01/09/03 |
GMNA Business
Update/Key Metrics
Gary Cowger, President GMNA
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 2 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | G. Cowger | 01/09/03 |
2002 Key GMNA Metrics
Metric | Status | |
Market Share Net Income Material Cost Structural Cost Cash Flow Warranty (6MIS) |
G G G G G Y |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 3 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | G. Cowger | 01/09/03 |
U.S. Market Shares
2002CY vs. 2001CY
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 4 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | G. Cowger | 01/09/03 |
2002 Product Launches
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 5 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | G. Cowger | 01/09/03 |
U.S. Truck Sales
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 6 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | G. Cowger | 01/09/03 |
Quality of Share
Trucks as a Percentage of Total U.S. Sales
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 7 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | G. Cowger | 01/09/03 |
Attacking GMNA Structural Costs
As of 11+1 Forecast
Includes Special Items
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 8 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | G. Cowger | 01/09/03 |
GMNA Assembly Labor Productivity
* Excludes Mexico and Launch
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 9 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | G. Cowger | 01/09/03 |
2003 Key GMNA Metrics
Metric | Target | |
Market Share Net Income Material Cost Structural Cost J.D. Power |
/\ $1.7-$1.9B 3% $41.4B /\ |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 10 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | G. Cowger | 01/09/03 |
2003 Industry Outlook
Challenging NA Industry Continues
| 2003 CY U.S. industry volume in the mid 16M units | |
| Aggressively competitive market becoming hyper-competitive in some segments | |
| Continued pressure on price |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 11 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | G. Cowger | 01/09/03 |
Net Income
2003 CY Target vs. 2002 CY Forecast
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 12 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | G. Cowger | 01/09/03 |
Structural Cost
2003 CY Budget vs. 2002 CY Forecast
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 13 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | G. Cowger | 01/09/03 |
Material Cost Reduction Strategy
| One target | |
| Integrated approach | |
| Drive performance with top 20 suppliers | |
| Total cost elements focus |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 14 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | G. Cowger | 01/09/03 |
J.D. Power IQS2
GMNA Total Problems Per 100 Vehicles
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 15 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | G. Cowger | 01/09/03 |
J.D. Power IQS2
GMNA Total Problems Per 100 Vehicles
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 16 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | G. Cowger | 01/09/03 |
Direct Run Rate (First Time Quality)
GMNA Plants
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 17 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | G. Cowger | 01/09/03 |
Consumer Reports
Recommended 2003 Models
Note: Through December, 2002 Issue
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 18 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | G. Cowger | 01/09/03 |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 19 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | G. Cowger | 01/09/03 |
Vehicle Accessories Growth
| $27 Billion domestic accessories market | |
| Our Accessories group at SPO is focusing on four interdependent strategies: |
| Integrate product development process | ||
| Incorporate accessories into the vehicle selling process | ||
| Enhance distribution and installation capabilities | ||
| Grow GM Performance Parts revenue |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 20 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | G. Cowger | 01/09/03 |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 21 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | G. Cowger | 01/09/03 |
Labor Relations
| Build on positive relationship with our unions | |
| Continue open communications and maintain a constructive, problem-solving approach | |
| Continue current positive momentum |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 22 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | E. Feldstein | 01/09/03 |
Safe Harbor
In the presentation that follows and in related comments by General Motors management, our use of the words expect, anticipate, project, estimate, forecast, objective, plan, goal and similar expressions is intended to identify forward looking statements.
While these statements represent our current judgment on what the future may hold, and we believe these judgments are reasonable, actual results may differ materially due to numerous important factors that are described in GMs most recent report on SEC Form 10-K which may be revised or supplemented in subsequent reports on SEC Forms 10-Q and 8-K. Such factors include, among others, the following: changes in economic conditions, currency exchange rates or political stability; shortages of fuel, labor strikes or work stoppages; market acceptance of the corporations new products; significant changes in the competitive environment; changes in laws, regulations and tax rates; and, the ability of the corporation to achieve reductions in cost and employment levels to realize production efficiencies and implement capital expenditures at levels and times planned by management.
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 1 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | E. Feldstein | 01/09/03 |
GMAC Strategic and Financial Review
Eric Feldstein, Chairman and President GMAC
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 2 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | E. Feldstein | 01/09/03 |
GMAC Net Income
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 3 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | E. Feldstein | 01/09/03 |
GMAC 2002 Net Income by Sector
<=> Financing Operations
| Improved income from high asset level and cost containment | ||
| Increased contribution from full-service leasing and used vehicle financing in Europe | ||
| Unfavorable borrowing spreads and higher credit losses in North America |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 4 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | E. Feldstein | 01/09/03 |
GMAC 2002 Net Income by Sector
<=> Financing Operations
\/ Insurance Operations
| Continued improvement in underwriting (operating) income more than offset by lower investment income, including impairment of certain securities |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 5 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | E. Feldstein | 01/09/03 |
GMAC 2002 Net Income by Sector
/\ | Financing Operations | |
\/ | Insurance Operations | |
/\ | Mortgage Operations |
| Record income at commercial mortgage and conduit operations on strong origination volume |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 6 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | E. Feldstein | 01/09/03 |
GMAC 2002 Net Income by Sector
<=> | Financing Operations | |
\/ | Insurance Operations | |
/\ | Mortgage Operations | |
= | Record 2002 Net Income |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 7 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | E. Feldstein | 01/09/03 |
GMAC 2003 Objectives
| Generate net income of $1.7-$1.9 billion | |
| Remit dividend to GM | |
| Contain funding/equity ratio |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 8 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | E. Feldstein | 01/09/03 |
GMAC 2003 Key Issues
| Credit losses | |
| Lease residuals | |
| Balance sheet capacity | |
| Funding outlook |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 9 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | E. Feldstein | 01/09/03 |
GMNA U.S. Asset Quality
Total Retail and SmartLease Losses
as % of
Average Serviced Receivables
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 10 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | E. Feldstein | 01/09/03 |
GMAC U.S. Auto
New and Used Retail Loans
| Frequency of loss has remained low with favorable delinquency trends |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 11 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | E. Feldstein | 01/09/03 |
GMAC U.S. Auto
New and Used Retail Loans
Average Gross Loss per Unit with a Loss
| Severity of loss has increased reflecting weaker used car market |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 12 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | E. Feldstein | 01/09/03 |
GMAC U.S. Asset Quality
Memo: Approximately 65% of contracts gone bad result in some loss
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 13 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | E. Feldstein | 01/09/03 |
GMAC U.S. SmartLease
Book Gain per Unit
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 14 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | E. Feldstein | 01/09/03 |
GMAC U.S. SmartLease
Residual Outlook
| Residual expectations on terminating units peaked in 2000 |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 15 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | E. Feldstein | 01/09/03 |
GMAC U.S. SmartLease
Residual Outlook
| Residual expectations on terminating units peaked in 2000 |
| Will decline by about 8 p.p. ($2,200) over next two years |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 16 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | E. Feldstein | 01/09/03 |
GMAC U.S. SmartLease
Terminations Outlook
| Volume of terminating units will decline by over 330,000 units (46%) from 2002 through 2004 |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 17 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | E. Feldstein | 01/09/03 |
GMAC Serviced Assets and Funding
* Ratio reflects debt net of cash and is adjusted for certain securitization transactions
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 18 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | E. Feldstein | 01/09/03 |
GMAC Balance Sheet Capacity
* Ratio reflects debt net of cash and is adjusted for certain securitization transactions
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 19 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | E. Feldstein | 01/09/03 |
Borrowing Spreads Over
10-year
U.S. Treasuries
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 20 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | E. Feldstein | 01/09/03 |
GMAC U.S. Term Funding Sources
Institutional Unsecured Debt
as
% of Total Funding Volume
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 21 |
2003 Auto Analyst Conference | E. Feldstein | 01/09/03 |
GMAC 2003 Net Income by Sector
\/ | Financing Operations | |
/\ | Insurance Operations | |
/\ | Mortgage Operations |
= | $1.7-$1.9 Billion Net Income |
© 2002 General Motors Corporation All Rights Reserved | 22 |
# # #
SIGNATURE
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
Date January 9, 2003 |
GENERAL MOTORS CORPORATION (Registrant) By /s/Peter R. Bible (Peter R. Bible, Chief Accounting Officer) |