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On January 17, 2018, Qualcomm Incorporated (Qualcomm) posted the following material to www.qcomvalue.com.
TRANSCRIPT OF QUALCOMM URGES INVESTORS TO RESIST BROADCOM TAKEOVER
FROM CNBC SQUAWK ON THE STREET
DAVID FABER AND JIM CRAMER
JANUARY 16, 2018
David Farber: I wanna get to Qualcomm this morning, of course, weve mentioned a number of the defenses that Qualcomm has used previously against that $70 a share bid that it is currently well, currently being sought by Broadcom for. But this morning, Qualcomm, in an 8:15 letter and in a 9:00 presentation and call substantially increases the amount of information it wants to deliver to its shareholders to allow them to understand why it and they should resist this $70 current bid from Broadcom.
Key amongst them this morning, establishing a new fiscal year 19 non-GAAP EPS target of, get this, $6.75 to $7.50. Thats the number theyre using for fiscal year 19. And by the way, that number does not really include what they claim will be the enormous benefits to the company that will come from its leadership in providing 5G services as those begin to be rolled out by the telecommunications providers worldwide in, lets call it, 2020.
This is a fiscal year 19 number. And of course, if you put a multiple on that, they say 19 times, well, you get to a number that is so far above that $70 a share offer right now, even with the expected increases that will come from Broadcom, theyll get nowhere near it. Now, that number does include being paid by Apple and other licensees who currently are in a dispute with Qualcomm and not paying it.
When you back that out, you still have a number, before licensing resolutions, of $5.25. So they do value the resolutions of those various disputes, which they believe will all take place prior to any close that they could imagine for a Broadcom-Qualcomm deal, adding $1.50 to $2.25.
And by the way, heres something else new. Theyre giving us accretion numbers from the NXP deal. Remember, that also was in doubt because, of course, the stock price is far above the $110 number that theyre willing to pay, or I should say, that the tender is at right now. Theyre going to have to increase it. The question is how much. They still have to wait for Chinese approval before we really get down to the final bits there.
But thats $1.50, but they raised this prospect of using that money that they would currently allocate towards NXP and saying, You know what? If we cant do the NXP deal, well buy back shares. And that will also bring accretion of as much as $1.50, or lets call it $500 million to the company. And so theres the number you get. Theres the multiple theyre talking about in terms of overall. They are also establishing a new $1 billion cost reduction program. That is on top of what has already been baked in.
And then they go through some of the same things weve been talking about, saying, It dramatically undervalues Qualcomm, that is the Broadcom bid. The regulatory risks, they say, would be at least 18 months. And by the way, within
that, it would require massively complex divestitures. And its not clear who would buy these companies that might have to be sold. Could it be a Chinese competitor? And how in the world is the U.S. government ever going to approve the sale of various parts of Qualcomm/Broadcom to a Chinese competitor? Theyre not. So Qualcomms point, which, of course, theyve made previously, is, It is highly uncertain that you would get the regulatory go-ahead in any time frame, if at all, for this enormous deal in this industry.
By the way, when it comes to China, their OEM product revenues they see growing, guys, very quickly. Thats why I brought it up earlier in our conversation about a potential trade war with China. Look at what they have at stake here. But look how important China is to Qualcomm, having resolved some disputes there a couple of years back, very important for the company. So Jim, thats where we stand right now.
Theyre talking about precedent PE transactions of 22 times and saying, Hey, the Broadcom deal values us at about 10 times what we see, again, as our fiscal year 19 non-GAAP EPS estimate, an estimate they say theyre highly confident in.
Jim Cramer: Its time for Hock Tan to drop the bid. Hes gotta walk away. His slate is mediocre, rather surprised how weak it is. His stock would go to $300, my charitable trust owns it, hes doing something detrimental to his stock. This is highly unusual. If Hock Tan walks away, theres a very quick move to $300.
I think he I wish he knew that, and Im surprised. Because Qualcomm is a national treasure. Theyre gonna be able to do this now that R&D is so high, versus they dont wanna go down this path. This is exposure to Broadcom in a way that is almost I dont wanna say self-defeating, but it is something that is presenting Broadcom as being a corporate raider.
And Hock Tans reputation, I dont want it to suffer. I think hes a great man. If he walks away now and says, You know what? I like Qualcomm very much, there are other things I can do, he would add 15% 10% to 15% to his stock. I know he watches. I know he listens. Its time to walk away. There would be no harm, no foul. It would be a terrific move. I know hes not gonna do that. He ought to. I know of what I speak when it comes to stocks. He knows semis, I know stocks. Im right, hes wrong.
Additional Information
Qualcomm has filed a definitive proxy statement and WHITE proxy card with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the SEC) in connection with its solicitation of proxies for its 2018 Annual Meeting of Stockholders (the 2018 Annual Meeting). QUALCOMM STOCKHOLDERS ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO READ THE DEFINITIVE PROXY STATEMENT (AND ANY AMENDMENTS AND SUPPLEMENTS THERETO) AND ACCOMPANYING WHITE PROXY CARD AS THEY CONTAIN IMPORTANT INFORMATION. Stockholders may obtain the proxy statement, any amendments or supplements to the proxy statement and other documents as and when filed by Qualcomm with the SEC without charge from the SECs website at www.sec.gov.
Certain Information Regarding Participants
Qualcomm, its directors and certain of its executive officers may be deemed to be participants in connection with the solicitation of proxies from Qualcomms stockholders in connection with the matters to be considered at the 2018 Annual Meeting. Information regarding the identity of potential participants, and their direct or indirect interests, by security holdings or otherwise, is set forth in the proxy statement and other materials to be filed with the SEC. These documents can be obtained free of charge from the sources indicated above.
Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
Any statements contained in this website that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements as defined in the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Additionally, statements regarding operating results for future years, growth in operating results and the factors contributing to future operating results; the resolution of licensing disputes and the impact and timing thereof; expected market, industry, geographic and organic growth and trends; future serviceable addressable market size and growth; anticipated contributions from and growth in new opportunities; benefits from planned cost reductions; technology and product leadership and trends; Qualcomms positioning to benefit from any of the above; potential benefits and upside to Qualcomms stockholders related to any of the above; and the regulatory process and regulatory uncertainty are forward-looking statements. Words such as anticipate, believe, estimate, expect, forecast, intend, may, plan, project, predict, should, will and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. These statements are based on Qualcomms current expectations or beliefs, and are subject to uncertainty and changes in circumstances. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by the statements herein due to changes in economic, business, competitive, technological, strategic and/or regulatory factors, and other factors affecting the operations of Qualcomm. More detailed information about these factors may be found in Qualcomms filings with the SEC, including those discussed in Qualcomms most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K and in any subsequent periodic reports on Form 10-Q and Form 8-K, each of which is on file with the SEC and available at the SECs website at www.sec.gov. SEC filings for Qualcomm are also available in the Investor Relations section of Qualcomms website at www.qualcomm.com. Qualcomm is not obligated to update these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of such statements. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of their dates.